Force index
Mean reversionIntermediate
Elder's force index multiplies a price change by volume. A short force index is used as a pullback tool inside a trend identified by a longer average. The idea is to buy a dip in an uptrend when selling force spikes and then fades, instead of buying every touch of a moving average.
Not investment advice. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Backtests and historical studies are not guarantees, and a rule that worked in one sample can fail in the next. Trading can lose money. Links are for education, not endorsements. Do your own research.
- Rules
- A 2-period EMA of force is the short version. A 13-period EMA is the longer version. In an uptrend defined by a rising 22-day EMA, a long setup is a negative 2-period force reading that turns back up, with a stop under the pullback. Exit at a multiple of risk or when the 13-period force turns down. Skip the buy if the longer EMA is falling.
- Where AI fits
- AI can enforce the trend gate so the short force index is never traded as a standalone oscillator. It can test the 2-period and 13-period lengths as published defaults first, before any search. Volume outliers should be winsorized or the force number will be one print.
- Markets
- Stocks and futures with usable volume.
- Timeframes
- Daily for the classic lengths. Intraday needs a new definition of the trend average.
- Risks
- Volume spikes make force unreadable. Without the trend gate this becomes a noisy mean-reversion oscillator. The published lengths are conventions. Price-only traders who copy the shape without volume have a different indicator.